Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 274.521543 310.281018 350.061933 397.801253 453.801488 517.732510 596.701587
2025-05-18 216.105389 261.495343 316.475067 388.752435 482.429951 601.365994 766.445553
2025-05-25 191.988386 243.172021 308.859941 400.901019 529.088410 705.251624 972.859072
2025-06-01 170.516494 223.604145 294.828517 399.744975 554.540748 781.593566 1153.958157
2025-06-08 152.082243 205.080496 278.793650 391.951837 567.204326 839.056770 1316.030548
2025-06-15 139.687351 193.162300 270.008197 392.540727 591.114794 916.013941 1524.893182
2025-06-22 126.995961 179.289645 256.502218 383.610315 597.717939 964.613707 1693.585953
2025-06-29 118.042442 169.961365 248.630576 382.190040 615.840935 1035.073452 1918.991093
2025-07-06 107.105304 156.574611 233.052651 366.066391 605.850378 1052.303875 2040.585330
2025-07-13 103.837883 154.768951 235.560684 380.542224 652.383591 1184.058897 2441.428032
2025-07-20 101.205447 153.674671 238.998725 396.855699 704.567236 1336.917120 2937.676423
2025-07-27 96.317072 148.457142 234.967140 399.059544 729.380063 1437.011456 3336.250542
2025-08-03 89.645688 139.910829 224.726494 389.031140 728.985420 1483.927648 3617.437145
2025-08-10 83.887914 132.517376 215.927222 380.877144 731.554329 1538.847572 3943.481065
2025-08-17 81.622956 130.933968 217.296370 392.676785 778.911117 1711.258634 4692.228105
2025-08-24 77.748235 126.228117 212.541280 391.552938 797.101629 1814.640867 5265.797707
2025-08-31 73.367506 120.315719 205.057757 383.955057 799.105405 1875.922289 5722.081137
2025-09-07 70.380236 116.712506 201.636160 384.529220 820.690972 1996.019639 6456.410828
2025-09-14 66.525351 111.273672 194.273690 375.821799 818.148919 2046.774695 6943.979352
2025-09-21 63.803667 107.766633 190.417013 374.436881 833.981208 2156.288202 7742.912770
2025-09-28 59.710368 101.455712 180.588317 358.712516 810.390814 2139.116298 7964.938088
2025-10-05 59.051209 101.605611 183.695734 372.830049 868.443648 2398.169619 9680.427078
2025-10-12 58.558694 102.034013 187.387980 388.736035 934.415882 2705.114737 11912.556325